Learn
Educational articles about Bitcoin market cycles and on-chain analysis. Written by Jay, a Bitcoin investor since 2017 who has survived two complete market cycles.
Understanding Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle
How Bitcoin halvings create predictable market cycles and what indicators reveal about each phase.
5 min readMVRV Z-Score Explained: The Most Reliable Bitcoin Cycle Indicator
What market cap vs realized cap means, how the Z-Score works, and why it has called every major top and bottom.
5 min readPi Cycle Top Indicator: How Two Moving Averages Called Every Bitcoin Peak
The math behind the 111-day and 350-day moving averages, why their ratio approximates pi, and historical accuracy.
4 min readBitcoin Halving History: What Happened After Each Supply Cut
Detailed timeline of all four halvings, price performance after each event, and the diminishing returns pattern.
6 min readPuell Multiple: Reading Miner Stress to Time the Bitcoin Market
How daily miner issuance value signals cycle extremes, and why halvings mechanically reset this indicator.
4 min readStock-to-Flow Model: Can Bitcoin's Scarcity Predict Its Price?
What the S2F model measures, why it works as a mental framework, and where it falls short as a trading tool.
5 min readDollar Cost Averaging Bitcoin: The Strategy That Beats Timing
How DCA works, historical returns, cycle-aware strategies, and the emotional benefits of consistent investing.
6 min readFear and Greed Index: Reading the Market's Emotions
How Bitcoin's Fear and Greed Index correlates with cycle phases and complements on-chain indicators.
5 min readThe Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: A Visual Guide to Long-Term Valuation
Logarithmic regression bands, color meanings, and how the Rainbow Chart complements cycle analysis.
5 min readOn-Chain vs Technical Analysis: Which One Should You Trust?
Comparing on-chain and technical analysis, when each excels, and how BitcoinCycle Clock integrates both.
6 min read